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Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 26

Bundesliga - Gameweek 26

Saturday, 14 Mar 2026 • 18:30

Hamburger SV

1 : 1

1. FC Köln

Goals

Fábio Vieira
1 : 0
39'
39'Fábio Vieira
1 : 0
45'
1 : 1
Said El Mala
1 : 1
Said El Mala45'

Game Review

Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln played out a 1-1 draw in their Bundesliga clash on Saturday, 14 March 2026. The match was a balanced affair, with both teams having their moments but ultimately sharing the spoils. This result was not entirely unexpected given both teams' mid-table positions and recent form. The game saw Hamburger SV take the lead in the 39th minute through Fábio Vieira (GAP +0.2%), who capitalized on a defensive lapse to put the hosts ahead. However, 1. FC Köln responded swiftly, with Said El Mala (GAP +0.8%) equalizing just before halftime in the 45th minute. Both goals highlighted the attacking prowess of the respective teams, but also underscored defensive vulnerabilities. From a tactical perspective, Hamburger SV's lineup featured Jordan Torunarigha (GAP +1.4%) and Luka Vušković (GAP +2.5%) in key defensive roles, while 1. FC Köln relied on the defensive solidity of Cenk Özkacar (GAP -2.8%) and Rav van den Berg (GAP -0.9%). The Game Advantage Percentage (GAP) data suggests that William Mikelbrencis (GAP -2.7%) and Ragnar Ache (GAP -2.5%) had challenging outings, which may have influenced the overall balance of play. Both managers made several substitutions to try and tip the balance in their favor. Hamburger SV introduced Daniel Elfadli, Philip Otele, Jean-Luc Dompe, Fábio Baldé, and Otto Emerson Stange, while 1. FC Köln brought on Sebastian Sebulonsen, Florian Kainz, and Marius Bülter. These changes did not significantly alter the course of the match, as both teams seemed content to settle for a point. This draw leaves Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln in similar positions in the Bundesliga table, with neither team making significant strides towards European qualification or away from the relegation zone. Both teams will need to find more consistency in their performances if they are to climb the table in the remaining weeks of the season.

Lineups

Hamburger SV

PosPlayer
GK
Daniel Fernandes
DEF
Jordan Torunarigha
DEF
Warmed Omari
DEF
Miro Muheim
DEF
William Mikelbrencis
DEF
Luka Vušković
MID
Albert Sambi Lokonga
MID
Fábio Vieira
MID
Nicolai Remberg
FWD
Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
FWD
Damion Downs

Substitutes

66'Jean-Luc Dompefor Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
67'Otto Stangefor Damion Downs
79'Fábio Baldéfor William Mikelbrencis
79'Daniel Elfadlifor Jordan Torunarigha
90'Philip Otelefor Fábio Vieira

1. FC Köln

PosPlayer
GK
Marvin Schwabe
DEF
Cenk Özkacar
DEF
Rav van den Berg
DEF
Kristoffer Lund Hansen
MID
Tom Krauß
MID
Eric Martel
MID
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
MID
Jakub Kamiński
FWD
Said El Mala
UNK
Ragnar Ache

Substitutes

74'Marius Bülterfor Said El Mala
75'Sebastian Sebulonsen
for Ragnar Ache
90'Florian Kainzfor Jakub Kamiński
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
11Hamburger SV2679102937-830
D
L
L
W
D
141. FC Köln2667133544-925
L
D
L
L
D

Last Games

Hamburger SV

@VfL Wolfsburg
2 - 1
vsBayer 04 Leverkusen
0 - 1
vsRB Leipzig
1 - 2
@FSV Mainz 05
1 - 1
vsUnion Berlin
3 - 2

1. FC Köln

vsBorussia Dortmund
1 - 2
@FC Augsburg
0 - 2
vs1899 Hoffenheim
2 - 2
@VfB Stuttgart
1 - 3
vsRB Leipzig
1 - 2

Head-to-Head

14 Mar 2026
Hamburger SV1 - 11. FC Köln
14 Mar 2026Hamburger SV
1 - 1
1. FC Köln
02 Nov 2025
1. FC Köln4 - 1Hamburger SV
02 Nov 20251. FC Köln
4 - 1
Hamburger SV

Bundesliga

Gameweek 26

13 Mar • 20:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
St. Pauli
2 - 0
14 Mar • 15:30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Bayern München
1 - 1
14 Mar • 15:30
Borussia Dortmund
FC Augsburg
2 - 0
14 Mar • 15:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Heidenheim
1 - 0
14 Mar • 15:30
1899 Hoffenheim
VfL Wolfsburg
1 - 1
14 Mar • 18:30
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
1 - 1
15 Mar • 14:00
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
1 - 0
15 Mar • 14:00
Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
0 - 2
15 Mar • 14:00
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
0 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.